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A short course of lectures
«China’s Macroeconomic Outlook Quarterly Forecast»





Export, Import, and Reserve GrowthResident Real Income Growth was SlowingThe Result of Policy SimulationsMajor Exchange RatesThe Simulation Results of Scenario 2Forecasts of China's Major Macroeconomic Indicators for 2015–2016Forecasts of Growth Rates of Other Major Macroeconomic IndicatorsProfessor Liu Shucheng, Member of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences: Ideal Path and Growth Potential of the “New Normal”Jia Yandong, Researcher and Deputy DirectorProfessor Gao Peiyong, President of Strategic Finance Academy, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences:Economic Growth Continued to Fall, but the Proportion of the Tertiary Industry Continued to ImproveYang Ruilong, Professor of School of Economics, Renmin University of China: Emphasizing the Bottom-Line Management While Facing New Challenges UnderFiscal Revenue Growth Was Falling, but the Fiscal Expenditure Structure Continued to ImproveComments and DiscussionScenario Design of Policy SimulationsEconomic Growth Rates of the USA and the EurozoneA Report of the Questionnaire Survey on the Macroeconomic Situation and Policy of China in 2015Import and Export Growth Fell Sharply, but the Trade Structure Continued to ImproveBackground Analysis of Policy SimulationsPolicy SimulationsThe Industrial Profit Growth Declined Sharply, and Eliminating Backward Production Capacity Achieved Certain ProgressAssumptions of Exogenous VariablesJia Kang, President of China Academy of New SupplySide Economics and Professor of Research Institute for Fiscal Science, Ministry of Finance: The ReformForecasts of Major Price IndicesA Review of China's Economy in 2014The Monetary Policy Targeted Eased, and Financing Costs Remained HighPrice Index Continued the Trend of “Double Down,” and the Structural Deflation was IncreasingThe Growth Rate of ConsumptionProfessor Wang Luolin, Ad Hoc Consultant and Former Executive Vice President of the Chinese AcademyPolicy Implications and SuggestionsFixed Asset Investment Growth Fell Sharply, but the Investment Structure Started to ImproveAppendixThe Growth Rate of Total Fixed CapitalProfessor Zhang Yansheng, General SecretaryThe Simulation Result of Scenario 1The Growth Rate of Broad Money Supply (M2)Forecast of China's Economy During 2015–2016Forecast of GDP Growth
 
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