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A New Model for Balanced Growth and Convergence: Achieving Economic Sustainability in CESEE Countrie
Preface
I Framing the Discussion on Balanced Growth in Europe
The necessity of sustainable growth and continued income convergence in Europe
INTRODUCTION
WHY IS BALANCED GROWTH AN IMPORTANT ISSUE?
CHARACTERISTICS OF A SUSTAINABLE GROWTH MODEL
IMPACT OF THE CRISIS ON INCOME CONVERGENCE
CONCLUSION
NOTES
REFERENCES
Changes in banking in the run-up to the crisis
INTRODUCTION
LACK OF RESTRAINT FROM REGULATION, SUPERVISION AND MARKET DISCIPLINE
PUBLIC REACTION TO THE CRISIS AND NEED TO REBUILD TRUST
REGULATORY RESPONSE TO THE CRISIS
Proposal for Mandatory Separation and Rationale for Separation
Additional Separation Conditional on the Recovery and Resolution Plan
Facilitating the Use of Bail-in Instruments
A Review of Capital Requirements on Trading Assets and Real Estate-related Instruments
COMPARISON WITH OTHER STRUCTURAL PROPOSALS
THE ROLE OF BANKS IN FINANCING THE EUROPEAN ECONOMY
NOTES
REFERENCES
Restarting growth in Europe after the Great Recession: CEE versus other countries
INTRODUCTION
Сonvergence and growth
INFLATION AND COST COMPETITIVENESS
IMBALANCES: ExTERNAL, PUBLIC AND private
UNEMPLOYMENT AND STRUCTURAL ASPECTS
THE FUTURE: OPENNESS AND INTEGRATION
CONCLUSIONS
NOTES
REFERENCES
The European debt crisis and a stable design of EMU
II Stop and Go of Capital Flows and Deleveraging
Managing stop-go capital flows in Asian emerging markets: lessons for the CESEE economies
INTRODUCTION
CAPITAL FLOWS AND REALITY
RISKS AND POLICY SPACE
LESSONS
REFERENCES
CESEE banks deleveraging or rebalancing? Lessons from the EIB bank lending survey
INTRODUCTION
MAIN FACTS: BANKING IN CESEE
A UNIQUE BANK LENDING SURVEY IN THE CESEE REGION: BACKGROUND
MAIN RESULTS FROM THE GROUP-LEVEL SECTION OF THE SURVEY
MAIN RESULTS FROM THE SUBSIDIARY level section of the survey
A SIMPLE STATISTICAL EXERCISE USING THE RESULTS OF THE BANK LENDING SURVEY
CONCLUDING REMARKS
NOTES
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Managing capital flows in a globalized economy
INTRODUCTION
LIvING IN A WORLD OF FREE AND TURBULENT CAPITAL FLOWS
CAPITAL FLOWS AND CHANGES IN CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE
FREE CAPITAL MOvEMENT AND CURRENT ACCOUNT IMBALANCES
CAN COUNTRIES INFLUENCE THE SIZE AND DIRECTION OF PRIvATE CAPITAL FLOWS?
CAPITAL MOBILITY AND MONETARY POLICY
CONCLUSIONS
NOTES
REFERENCES
III Growth Strategies of EU Neighbouring Countries: Russia and Turkey
Russia in 2012: the challenge of reforming the economy without a political reform
Sustaining growth in emerging markets: the role of structural and monetary policies
INTRODUCTION
ASSESSING THE GROWTH EXPERIENCE OF TURKEY
Before the 2001 Crisis
After the 2001 Crisis
Monetary Policy Stance after the Collapse of Lehman Brothers: An Immediate Response to the Crisis
Soft Landing after 2010
THE TURKISH ECONOMY vERSUS CESEE ECONOMIES
CONCLUSION
NOTES
REFERENCES
IV Small-country Experiences in Economic Adjustment
Business cycle convergence or decoupling? Economic adjustment of CESEE countries during the crisis
INTRODUCTION AND MOTIvATION
LITERATURE REVIEW
Theoretical Background: Income versus Business Cycle Convergence
Business Cycle Convergence between the CESEE Region and the Euro Area
DATA AND METHODS
Dataset
Calculation of Business Cycles
Synchronization Measures
EMPIRICAL RESULTS
Cyclical Heterogeneity within the CESEE Region
Decoupling of CESEE Countries from the Euro Area Cycle?
Implications for the Catching-up Process
CONCLUSIONS
NOTES
REFERENCES
South-Eastern Europe: impacts from the crisis, vulnerabilities and adjustments
INTRODUCTION
INITIAL CONDITIONS IN THE SEE-6 BEFORE THE CRISIS
THE IMPACT OF THE CRISIS ON THE SEE-6 REGION
Vulnerability Analysis of the SEE-6 Countries before and during the Crisis
The Macedonian Economy during the Crisis Period
LOOKING AHEAD: CHALLENGES FOR THE SEE-6 COUNTRIES
CONCLUSIONS
REFERENCES
Economic adjustment in the Baltic countries
INTRODUCTION
MAIN DEvELOPMENTS IN THE BALTICS DURING 2000-2012
Expansion (2000-2007)
Recession (2007-2008 and 2008-2009)
Recovery (2009-2010)
COMPARISON OF THE ADJUSTMENT OF THE BALTIC ECONOMIES WITH IRELAND, GREECE AND PORTUGAL
THE ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES OF FAST VERSUS GRADUAL ADJUSTMENT
CONCLUDING REMARKS
NOTES
REFERENCES
V A Practitioner’s View
Basel III from a practitioner’s perspective
HISTORICAL CIRCUMSTANCES
Policy Reaction
BANK REACTION
IMPLICATIONS FOR THE CORPORATE CUSTOMER RELATIONSHIP
UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES
CONCLUSION
BIBLIOGRAPHY
Banks’ challenges in Central and Eastern Europe
Banking in CEE: less growth, more balance
CENTRAL EASTERN EUROPE AND THE ECONOMIC ENvIRONMENT
Impact on CEE from EMU Bank Deleveraging is a Manageable Drag
CEE BANKING SECTOR
MAJOR CHALLENGES FACED BY BANKS
Cross-border Regulatory Challenges
The role of non-bank financial intermediaries
Basel III and Capital Requirements Directive (CRD IV)
SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS
NOTES
REFERENCES
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